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Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Entertainment Weekly’s Academy Award Predictions vs. Peter Hammond’s Academy Award Predictions

February 23, 2011
Posted By - Emma Venezie
Source Credits - Dave Karger, Thom Geier for Entertainment Weekly. Pete Hammond for Deadline | Hollywood

Entertainment Weekly's Dave Karger turns the selection of Academy Award winners into a science. And maybe it is. Karger makes his predictions for this Sunday’s show, breaking down the odds into percentages, while Pete Hammond, awards columnist, makes his predictions after speaking with Academy members.

Entertainment Weekly’s Dave Karger’s Predictions:

Best Picture: The King’s Speech with 23%. The Social Network is the runner-up with 20%.
Best Actor: Colin Firth, The King’s Speech with 55%. Runner-up: Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network with 20%.
Best Actress: Natalie Portman, Black Swan with 40%. Runner-up: Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right with 35%.
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale, The Fighter with 35%. Runner-up: Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right with 20%.
Best Supporting Actress: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit with 30%. Runner-up: Melissa Leo, The Fighter with 25%.
Best Director: David Fincher, The Social Network with 35%. Runner-up: Tom Hopper, The King’s Speech with 30%.

The remaining categories don’t include percentages, but here’s what Karger and Thom Geier think:
Original Screenplay: The King’s Speech (though Inception is the most “original script this year.”)
Adapted Screenplay: The Social Network
Editing: The Social Network (though Karger and Geier believe The King’s Speech has a chance of taking this one, too).
Cinematography: True Grit (but The King Speech has a chance).
Art Direction: Alice in Wonderland deserves it.
Original Score: Because, Karger and Geier notes, the Academy tends to go classical, The King’s Speech. But if voters go the “avant-garde” route, then The Social Network.
Original Song: “If I Rise” from 127 Hours.
Costume Design: Alice in Wonderland
Makeup: The Wolfman
Sound Editing/Sound Mixing: Karger and Geier believe both should go to Inception, but True Grit could take them.
Visual Effects: Inception
Foreign Language Film: In a Better World
Documentary Feature: Inside Job, though Restrepo has a chance to take it.
Documentary Short: Killing in the Name, though Strangers No More is also a contender.
Animated Feature: Toy Story 3
Animated Short Film: The Gruffalo, but Day & Night is popular as well.
Live Action Short Film: The Confession or Na Wewe

Pick up the latest issue of Entertainment Weekly (February 25th Issue #1143) to read "And The Winners Are..." or go to "OSCARS 2011: 10 Who Will Win (and Who SHOULD!)" for a similar article…

Source: deadline | hollywood
Peter Hammond's predictions:
Best Picture: The King’s Speech
Best Actor: Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
Best Actress: Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale, The Fighter
Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Best Director: David Fincher, The Social Network
Best Adapted Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Best Original Screenplay: David Seidler, The King’s Speech
Best Foreign Language Film: In a Better World (Denmark)
Best Animated Feature Film: Toy Story 3
Best Documentary Feature: Inside Job, though Exit Through the Gift Shop "could be a spoiler."
Best Achievement In Art Direction: The King’s Speech, but its strongest competition is Inception and Alice in Wonderland.
Best Achievement in Cinematography: True Grit
Best Achievement in Costume Design: Alice In Wonderland
Best Achievement in Film Editing: The Social Network
Best Achievement in Makeup: The Wolfman
Original Score: The Social Network
Original Song: “We Belong Together,” Toy Story 3
Best Achievement in Sound Editing: Inception
Best Achievement in Sound Mixing: Inception
Best Achievement in Visual Effects: Inception
Best Documentary Short Subject: Strangers No More
Best Live Action Short Film: God Of Love
Best Animated Short Film: The Gruffalo or Day & Night or Let’s Pollute
Read OSCAR: Hammond Predicts Who Will Win for Hammond's detailed reasoning for his picks.
What do you think of their predictions? Agree/disagree? What are your predictions for Oscar night?

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